ToC Tracker
What are the chances of your favorite players returning for a Tournament of Champions? Here are my famed Tournament of Champions trackers.
Disclaimer: These trackers are unofficial; all decisions regarding Tournament of Champions eligibility lie with the show’s production staff.
34th Tournament of Champions Tracker
This is the tracker for the 34th Tournament of Champions, currently scheduled for Winter 2027.
Methodology: The postseason chance prediction model used above currently assumes a postseason qualification period ending with the episode airing December 4, 2026 with 18 regular-play contestants qualifying for the 34th Tournament of Champions. It also takes the medium-term historical average of a champion winning their next game since January 11, 2021 (fit to an exponential curve, adjusted weekly) as well as rolling averages of the winning scores of the most recent 200 regular play games.
Methodology: The postseason chance prediction model used above currently assumes a postseason qualification period ending with the episode airing December 4, 2026 with 18 regular-play contestants qualifying for the 34th Tournament of Champions. It also takes the medium-term historical average of a champion winning their next game since January 11, 2021 (fit to an exponential curve, adjusted weekly) as well as rolling averages of the winning scores of the most recent 200 regular play games.