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2024 Masters Breakdown #9 — Yes, James Still Would Have Lost

Published

Current Champion

Nikolas Polsinelli, career statistics:
44 correct, 6 incorrect
2/2 on rebound attempts (on 5 rebound opportunities)
35.96% in first on buzzer (41/114)
4/5 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $10,600)
1/2 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $17,500

To win:
3 games: 64.111%
4: 41.102%
5: 26.351%
6: 16.894%
7: 10.831%
Avg. streak: 3.786 games.
(Click Here for Methodology)

Upcoming Encore Presentations

October 3-4: S42 E175 (May 8, 2026)
October 10-11: S42 E176 (May 11, 2026)
(Source: Bell Fibe TV program guide)

All Time Winnings

All Time Jeopardy! Winnings, Regular Play Only:

1. Ken Jennings $2,520,700
2. James Holzhauer $2,462,216
3. Matt Amodio $1,518,601
4. Amy Schneider $1,382,800
5. Jamie Ding $882,605
6. Cris Pannullo $748,286
7. Mattea Roach $560,983
8. Jason Zuffranieri $532,496
9. Scott Riccardi $455,000
10. David Madden $430,400
11. Julia Collins $428,100
12. Matt Jackson $411,612
13. Austin Rogers $411,000
14. Ray Lalonde $386,400
15. Harrison Whitaker $373,999
16. Adriana Harmeyer $349,600
17. Caleb Groen $346,968
18. Adam Remsen $306,415
19. Ryan Long $299,400
20. Arthur Chu $297,200

All Time Jeopardy! Winnings, Including Tournaments (and Consolation Prizes):

1. Brad Rutter $4,968,436
2. Ken Jennings $4,372,700
3. James Holzhauer $3,614,216
4. Matt Amodio $1,964,601
5. Amy Schneider $1,864,800
6. Yogesh Raut $1,598,403
7. Victoria Groce $1,023,801
8. Mattea Roach $897,983
9. Jamie Ding $885,605
10. David Madden $785,733
11. Cris Pannullo $754,286
12. Roger Craig $706,200
13. Andrew He $684,365
14. Larissa Kelly $671,930
15. Matt Jackson $623,612
16. Jason Zuffranieri $549,496
17. Paolo Pasco $548,717
18. Scott Riccardi $533,000
19. Jerome Vered $499,102
20. Julia Collins $495,767
21. Austin Rogers $493,000
22. Juveria Zaheer $491,000
23. Ben Ingram $449,201
24. Adriana Harmeyer $446,600
25. Buzzy Cohen $441,603

Jeopardy! Masters 2024 is over, we have our champion in Victoria Groce—and here’s my final Masters Breakdown of the season.

James Would Still Have Lost Had He Gone All In In Game 1

A lot of James Holzhauer fans are on the Internet this morning claiming that James lost the tournament because he didn’t go all in in Final Jeopardy in Game 1. Unlike last year, however, when Mattea would have won had they gone all in in the opener, this was not the case for James in 2024.

Assume a situation where the only thing that has changed is James’s Final Jeopardy bet, changing to 27,200 points. That would put him at 54,400, to Victoria’s 21,400 and Yogesh’s 19,200.

Even if you hold everything else in Game 2 constant in terms of responses and Daily Double bets, James’s maximum possible total for the finals would have been 72,000. As I mentioned in my recap last night, Victoria’s maximum possible total was 89,400. Victoria would simply have bet 16,601 and her correct response on the Henrietta Lacks clue would have given her the victory.

That being said: Victoria faced the last Daily Double on clue #20 of Double Jeopardy, and, judging that she had a sufficiently large lead, bet just the clue’s value of 800 points. I can almost guarantee you that had she judged her lead to be insufficient—which she would have done at the time had James’s Game 1 score been 54,400—she would have bet significantly more points. In fact, had she bet 20,000—a not-unrealistic wager size considering it was a second-row Daily Double—she still would have had a runaway tournament over James.

While James’s conservative bet in Final Jeopardy in Game 1 certainly cost him second place over Yogesh, his conservative bet would have changed nothing in terms of the overall result.


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Is There A Player Right Now Who Can Challenge Victoria, James, & Yogesh?

Throughout the 2024 Masters season, it was clear that Victoria, James, and Yogesh were the clear top three players in the field. And, to that, I ask: is there a player in the Jeopiverse right now who can challenge our top three?

And I don’t know if there is. Every single player who has played in the last five years (this is a strict definition here, so dating back to May 2019) seems to have enough of a weakness—either when it comes to attempt counts or buzzer timing—that would put them at significant disadvantage to Victoria, James, or Yogesh. I would say, much like mens’ tennis of the recent past, that Jeopardy! has its Big Three—and anyone who isn’t in that Big Three right now will have to put in significant work in order to reach that top echelon.


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Should Promotion & Relegation Change?

With there being a “Big Three” who seem to be head and shoulders above the rest of the field, and only three players guaranteed to carry forward from each season of Masters, is it a good idea to expand the promotion zone to 4? That way, someone not in the Big Three can have a better chance of getting out of the inevitable yo-yo between the top two rungs on the Jeopardy! ladder.



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