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2017 Tournament Of Champions – Semifinals Predictions

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Current Champion

Matthew Riggle, career statistics:
47 correct, 6 incorrect
1/1 on rebound attempts (on 4 rebound opportunities)
41.23% in first on buzzer (47/114)
3/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $7,600)
1/2 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $21,300

To win:
3 games: 68.027%
4: 46.277%
5: 31.481%
6: 21.415%
7: 14.568%
Avg. streak: 4.128 games.
(Next game: September 14)
(Click Here for Methodology)

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August 17: S42 E101 (January 26, 2026)
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All Time Winnings

All Time Jeopardy! Winnings, Regular Play Only:

1. Ken Jennings $2,520,700
2. James Holzhauer $2,462,216
3. Matt Amodio $1,518,601
4. Amy Schneider $1,382,800
5. Jamie Ding $882,605
6. Cris Pannullo $748,286
7. Mattea Roach $560,983
8. Jason Zuffranieri $532,496
9. Scott Riccardi $455,000
10. David Madden $430,400
11. Julia Collins $428,100
12. Matt Jackson $411,612
13. Austin Rogers $411,000
14. Ray Lalonde $386,400
15. Harrison Whitaker $373,999
16. Adriana Harmeyer $349,600
17. Caleb Groen $346,968
18. Adam Remsen $306,415
19. Ryan Long $299,400
20. Arthur Chu $297,200

All Time Jeopardy! Winnings, Including Tournaments (and Consolation Prizes):

1. Brad Rutter $4,968,436
2. Ken Jennings $4,372,700
3. James Holzhauer $3,614,216
4. Matt Amodio $1,964,601
5. Amy Schneider $1,864,800
6. Yogesh Raut $1,098,403
7. Mattea Roach $897,983
8. Jamie Ding $885,605
9. David Madden $785,733
10. Victoria Groce $773,801
11. Cris Pannullo $754,286
12. Roger Craig $706,200
13. Larissa Kelly $671,930
14. Matt Jackson $623,612
15. Jason Zuffranieri $549,496
16. Andrew He $534,365
17. Scott Riccardi $533,000
18. Jerome Vered $499,102
19. Julia Collins $495,767
20. Austin Rogers $493,000
21. Ben Ingram $449,201
22. Paolo Pasco $448,717
23. Adriana Harmeyer $446,600
24. Buzzy Cohen $441,603
25. Juveria Zaheer $441,000

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15 players have been reduced to 9. It’s the Tournament of Champions semifinals. These are the three most crucial single games on the Jeopardy! calendar to win. The expected value of a victory: $133,333. What you get if you are defeated: $10,000.

Here are the semifinal matchups, some stats for each player, and my predictions!

Monday, November 13, 2017:

Andrew Pau on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Andrew Pau
Amherst, Ohio
188 correct, 13 incorrect
37.53% in first on buzzer (170/453)
11/11 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $32,800)
5/8 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $19,975
QF performance: 22 correct, 2 incorrect, $20,200 Coryat (net +7 low-level clues, net +13 high-level clues)

Austin Rogers on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Austin Rogers
New York, New York
349 correct, 46 incorrect
41.48% in first on buzzer (326/786)
22/28 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $106,100)
13/14 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $17,700
QF performance: 14 correct, 3 incorrect, $11,400 Coryat (net +8 low-level clues, net +3 high-level clues)

Lilly Chin on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Lilly Chin
Decatur, Georgia
102 correct, 12 incorrect
34.28% in first on buzzer (97/283)
8/8 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $17,200)
3/5 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $15,200
QF performance: 14 correct, 3 incorrect, $9,600 Coryat (net +6 low-level clues, net +5 high-level clues)

Prediction: I think it’s safe to actually say that after watching their respective quarterfinal performances, that Andrew Pau is at least a slight favorite in this match against Austin Rogers and Lilly Chin. Alan Lin absolutely demolished Austin in the quarterfinals, whereas Andrew had a much easier time of things (though Justin Vossler did give Andrew a bit of a challenge). Austin’s going to have to make some adjustments (his reticence in bouncing around compared to the rest of the field in the quarterfinals may work against him), but you can never really feel like you can count him out. I can’t see him being locked out two games in a row, and considering his record in Final Jeopardy, that could end up saving him. I’d consider it at least a moral victory if Lilly had enough money to have a chance of winning going into Final Jeopardy. If you could play this game 20 times, I would say that Andrew wins 12, Austin 7, and Lilly 1.


Tuesday, November 14, 2017

Buzzy Cohen on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Buzzy Cohen
Los Angeles, California
228 correct, 39 incorrect
36.72% in first on buzzer (224/610)
13/18 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $21,600)
7/11 in Final Jeopardy!
Average Coryat: $14,309
QF performance: 21 correct, 3 incorrect, $16,400 Coryat (net +5 low-level clues, net +13 high-level clues)

Jason Sterlacci on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Jason Sterlacci
Somerset, New Jersey
116 correct, 11 incorrect
37.54% in first on buzzer (107/285)
4/5 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $8,400)
3/5 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $18,560
QF performance: 17 correct, 0 incorrect, $17,400 Coryat (net +3 low-level clues, net +14 high-level clues)

Lisa Schlitt on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Lisa Schlitt
Berwyn, Pennsylvania
172 correct, 20 incorrect
37.75% in first on buzzer (168/445)
9/12 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $17,100)
6/8 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $14,150
QF performance: 20 correct, 1 incorrect, $10,600 Coryat (net +12 low-level clues, net +7 high-level clues)

Prediction: The analytics here say that Jason is the clear favorite, but the analytics doesn’t keep track of “strength of victory”, as it were. Buzzy’s best game came against Andrew Pau, which tells me that the bigger the game, the better Buzzy plays. Lisa’s strength is definitely the top of the board, whereas Buzzy and Jason may be fighting for the bottom, which could make for an interesting game chart when this semifinal is done. As much as I think that Jason is awesome, I really don’t think that I can bet against Buzzy here. If you were to play this 20 times, I’d say that Buzzy wins 10, Jason 7, and Lisa 3.


Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Alan Lin on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Alan Lin
Riverside, California
176 correct, 17 incorrect
37.11% in first on buzzer (167/450)
9/12 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $18,205)
6/8 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $16,525
QF performance: 27 correct, 3 incorrect, $20,800 Coryat (net +10 low-level clues, net +14 high-level clues)

Pranjal Vachaspati on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Pranjal Vachaspati
Urbana, Illinois
182 correct, 39 incorrect
42.11% in first on buzzer (184/437)
14/16 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $40,410)
5/8 in Final Jeopardy!
Average Coryat: $16,325
QF performance: 16 correct, 2 incorrect, $11,200 Coryat (net +7 low-level clues, net +7 high-level clues)

Tim Aten on the 2017 Jeopardy! Tournament of Champions

Tim Aten
Vermilion, Ohio
162 correct, 13 incorrect
29.29% in first on buzzer (145/495)
7/9 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $6,000)
5/9 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $12,355
QF performance: 21 correct, 1 incorrect, $14,000 Coryat (net +12 low-level clues, net +8 high-level clues)

Prediction: Both Alan and Pranjal are buzzer fiends. Alan absolutely demolished Austin Rogers on Wednesday, and I would imagine that Pranjal and Tim are hoping that doesn’t carry over, though I would say that Alan is definitely the most likely of any of the nine players to have a runaway in the semifinals, as his recent form is just that dominating. Pranjal may be forced into catch-up mode, and that may not bode well for him, especially considering that he has been known to make a lot of unforced errors. As for Tim? Considering his general style, though he was definitely better in the quarterfinals compared to his regular run in those matters, I think that Tim’s best chance may well be to hope Pranjal takes a lot of negs and cleans up the rebounds to stay in contention. If you play this 20 times, I say that Alan wins 14, Pranjal 4, and Tim 2.

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